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	<title>New Stocks Live &#124; Penny Stocks&#124; Stock MarketMark</title>
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		<title>Time for an Emergency Rate Hike? Gold (GLD) Takes 2% Hit</title>
		<link>http://www.newstockslive.com/time-for-an-emergency-rate-hike-gold-gld-takes-2-hit.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.newstockslive.com/time-for-an-emergency-rate-hike-gold-gld-takes-2-hit.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Dec 2009 14:11:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam XXXXX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark H  

Add]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[workforce participation rate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.newstockslive.com/?p=900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[All these years in the market and I&#8217;ve only seem emergency rate cuts to goose the stock market (and economy). With the &#8220;good news&#8221; today, should Ben Bernanke not be holding an emergency meeting to increase rates today?  Will that ever happen in the next 200 years? Gold is taking a hit (-2%+) as the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>All these years in the market and I&#8217;ve only seem emergency rate <strong>cuts</strong> to goose the stock market (and economy). With the &#8220;good news&#8221; today, should Ben Bernanke not be holding an emergency meeting to <strong>increase </strong>rates today?  Will that ever happen in the next 200 years?</p>
<p>Gold is taking a hit (-2%+) as the most crowded trade on Earth takes some water&#8230; the dollar actually rallies.</p>
<p>I am not surprised by the drop in unemployment rate&#8230; in fact I emailed a reader this last night:<br />
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<div><span title="View all emails from this sender "><span><span>Mark H</span></span><span> </span></span><span> </span><span><img id="_test_im_image_markox5:0" class="onlineIcon" style="background-image: url(http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/pim/dclient/cg240_3/img/md5/709bf32a73edef7cbe5d4a770292bc09_1.png); position: relative; overflow-x: hidden; overflow-y: hidden; width: 12px; background-position: -1026px 0px; height: 12px; top: 1px; cursor: pointer; border-width: 0px;" title="Chat now" onclick="top._cmd( &quot;im:open_im_session&quot;, null, null, &quot;markox5:0&quot;, &quot;mailheader&quot; )" src="http://www.newstockslive.com/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/68888_spacer_1.gif" alt="" /></span></div>
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<td><span><span><span>Adam XXXXX</span></span><span> </span></span></td>
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<div><span><strong>I would be surprised if the rate jumped so much because it surged so much last month</strong>.  I believe 0.4% which is huge for 30 days.  <strong>If anything I was wondering if the rate would flatten or indeed drop </strong>because 0.4% month over month is just so rare.</span></div>
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<div><span>That said does it matter?  more bad news = more free money .  Thats all the market cares about. </span></div>
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<p>However the -11K jobs was a surprise but again who knows how true it is and what it will revised to in 6 months.  The government likes to play with numbers due to seasonality, and we&#8217;ll see how accurate this number is about this time in 2010.</p>
<p>Things I am looking at are (1) temporary job force growth and (2) hours worked.  The latter jumped from record low 33.0 hours to 33.2 which is a positive, as that is the high end of the range hours worked has been stuck in for many months.</p>
<p>On the negative side the workforce participation rate, already at a record low last month contracted yet again&#8230; which is amazing.</p>
<p>So with 1 million Americans about to be hired as census takers in 2010, it appears there is no need for stimulus, more government handouts in the housing market, and we can reverse all these emergency measures.  Right?</p>
<p>Remember&#8230; as I&#8217;ve been saying, I think this market actually wants bad news not good news.  The knee jerk reaction is up but let&#8217;s see how it works in the interim as the only thing this stock market knows now is bad news = free money.  One data point means little to the Fed, especially one that gets revised 6 times to Sunday &#8211; but as a speculator I want to see how markets respond to the &#8220;threat&#8221; of easy money being taken away earlier than they anticipated.</p>
<p>Either way, this is a relative figure&#8230; 10% = 14% if we still measured unemployment as we did pre early 1990s.  And with workforce participation at record lows, in theory all these people detached from the work force should be re-entering as they hear the &#8220;good news&#8221;.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s see if we can escape day 18 in &#8220;the box&#8221; as investors who are living on Federal Reserve free money contemplate the fact they might actually have to think of another trade.  Or if they just dismiss this as 1 random data point.</p>
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		<title>What the Heck is Going on During Mondays Lately? Always Up</title>
		<link>http://www.newstockslive.com/what-the-heck-is-going-on-during-mondays-lately-always-up.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.newstockslive.com/what-the-heck-is-going-on-during-mondays-lately-always-up.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 14:14:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[monday-]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.newstockslive.com/?p=736</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve noticed Mondays have been very strong lately; the past few weeks government officials worldwide reiterated stimulus, money printing, and more stimulus &#8211; first in the G20 (2 weekends ago) and then in Asia (last weekend).  But then I thought back and it seemed like every Monday we seem to walk in to things that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve noticed Mondays have been very strong lately; the past few weeks government officials worldwide reiterated stimulus, money printing, and more stimulus &#8211; first in the G20 (2 weekends ago) and then in Asia (last weekend).  But then I thought back and it seemed like every Monday we seem to walk in to things that hammer the US dollar, and the market soars.  So I thought I&#8217;d look a bit closer. </p>
<p> </p>
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<p><span id="more-736"></span><br />
Whatever (or whomever) is doing this, seems to love marking the markets up on Monday.  Just by chance?  Or am I data mining?  If the pattern holds you should be buying hand over fist for &#8220;Monday Mark Up&#8221;&#8230; or at least covering any index short exposure.  Considering we are sitting just over the 20 day moving average and we&#8217;ll be drunk in some announcement over the weekend that will cause the US dollar to sink&#8230;. odds are for another one lovely Monday?</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve cut back my index short upon noticing this trend plus the near term support level &#8230;.</p>
<p> </p>
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